The bounce zone for QQQQ is 46.6 (similar to 115.14 on SPY), but QQQQ is lagging, will it bounce earlier than expected?

The bounce zone for QQQQ is 46.6 (similar to 115.14 on SPY), but QQQQ is lagging, will it bounce earlier than expected?

The NASDAQ hasn't dropped as far as the S&P and I expect QQQQ to drop to 46.6 before any significant bounce. Still SPY is close to 115.14 and could rally for a few days from there so it's hard to imagine a scenario where SPY bounces and QQQQ drops. This chart shows important support levels for QQQQ.

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