Dollar Will Consolidate Around 78 For Next Few Months

Dollar Will Consolidate Around 78 For Next Few Months

Yesterday the dollar bumped it's head against the downtrend line (A) shown below. I was expecting the dollar to continue upwards to ~80 but dollar futures sank overnight as Europe and Asia rallied. I realized that the retrace from 75.76 to ~79.5 is a 50% retracement of the move down from ~83.6. I now expect the dollar to trade sideways in the 78-79 range for the next month or two. I will look to sell the dollar if it nears 80.

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